𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗲𝗱 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗿𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝗶𝘁𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗮𝘁 𝟴 𝗽.𝗺. - 𝟭𝟳 𝗦𝗲𝗽𝘁 𝟮𝟱
𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗲𝗱 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗿𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝗶𝘁𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗮𝘁 𝟴 𝗽.𝗺. - 𝟭𝟳 𝗦𝗲𝗽𝘁 𝟮𝟱
The Federal Reserve will unveil the outcome of its two-day FOMC meeting this evening, followed by a press conference from Jerome Powell.
Markets are pricing in a 96% chance of a 25 basis point cut, versus 4% for a more aggressive 50-point move.
Expectations are already high for further easing, with probabilities at 77% for October and 71% for December.
Investors are mainly waiting for the Fed’s new growth and inflation forecasts.
Powell is unlikely to commit to a clear timeline but could hint at a downward rate path.
Any nuance in his speech could weigh on markets, still sensitive to elevated expectations.
$NSDQ100 $SPX500
⚠️ Risk Warnings:
𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘢 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘨𝘺, 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘤𝘦. 𝘞𝘩𝘦𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘤𝘩𝘰𝘰𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘪𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘥𝘦𝘤𝘪𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯. 𝘗𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘢 𝘨𝘶𝘢𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘧𝘶𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘶𝘭𝘵𝘴